pmintel.report

Strategies53 shown

What people are actually building - extracted from repo code, scored on how concrete the implementation is.

allweather
StrategyCategoryScoreFound
Weather-edge delta harvesting
Bot exploits weather forecast model deviations to trade temperature and precipitation outcome markets before pricing adjusts.
weather8Aug 17, 2026
PolymarketWeatherEdgeGaussianNo
Bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian probability model.
weather7Sep 15, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Fade (METAR + Open-Meteo Gaussian Model)
Bet the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets by comparing live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts against a Gaussian probability model to identify when YES prices exceed true probability.
weather7Jun 20, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Overpricing Exploitation
Edge sourced from systematic overpricing of YES outcomes in Polymarket temperature markets, identified by comparing market prices to physically-grounded meteorological probability models.
weather7Jun 23, 2026
Weather Temperature Market Betting (NO Side)
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR data and Gaussian probability model.
weather7Jun 17, 2026
Weather Temperature NO Betting
Bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Gaussian probability models.
weather7Jun 23, 2026
Weather-Based No-Bet Trading on Temperature Markets
Bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live meteorological data and probabilistic models.
weather7Jul 1, 2026
Weather Temperature Market NO Betting with Gaussian Model
Paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live weather data and probabilistic modeling.
weather7Jun 24, 2026
Weather Temperature NO Bet
Bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian probability model.
weather7Jun 29, 2026
Weather NO-Bet Arbitrage
Bets the NO side of overpriced temperature markets using live METAR observations and forecasts
weather7Jul 4, 2026
Weather Market NO Side Fade (METAR + Gaussian)
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian probability model.
weather7Jul 13, 2026
weather-no-side-gaussian-model
Paper-trading bot that bets NO on overpriced temperature markets using METAR data and Gaussian probability.
weather7Jul 14, 2026
Polymarket weather trading bot
Automated bot trading Polymarket weather markets using NWS forecast data and Kelly sizing.
weather7Jul 17, 2026
Weather Market NO-side Arbitrage
Bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR data and Gaussian probability model
weather7Jul 18, 2026
Weather Arbitrage Bot
Exploits mispriced weather event markets by comparing Polymarket odds with NOAA forecasts.
weather7Jul 15, 2026
Weather Edge Bot Strategy
Exploits weather forecast data asymmetries on Polymarket weather event markets.
weather7Jul 18, 2026
Weather Edge Paper Trader
A paper-trading bot that bets the NO side on overpriced temperature markets using a Gaussian probability model.
weather7Aug 29, 2026
Weather Bot POC
Paper trading bot for Polymarket weather temperature markets using statistical weather modeling (proof of concept)
weather7Sep 1, 2026
Weather Edge Paper Trading
Paper-trading bot betting NO on overpriced temperature markets using METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with Gaussian model.
weather7Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket Weather NO-Bet Edge
Automated paper-trading bot that bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR and Open-Meteo data.
weather6Aug 24, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Bias (Overpriced Temperature Markets)
Systematically bet the NO side of Polymarket temperature markets that are overpriced relative to live METAR weather observations and calibrated probabilistic forecasts.
weather6Jun 18, 2026
Weather NO-Side Betting with Gaussian Model
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian probability model.
weather6Jun 18, 2026
polymarket-weather-edge
Automated paper-trading bot betting the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR data and Gaussian modeling
weather6Jul 7, 2026
Polymarket Weather Edge (NO-side Gaussian)
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced temperature markets using METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian model.
weather6Aug 30, 2026
Polymarket Weather Bot with Full Data History
An extensive weather-based trading bot leveraging a large dataset (approx. 490 MB) of historical weather and market data to identify predictive patterns.
weather6Sep 6, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Fade (Overpriced Temperature Markets)
Systematically sell the YES side (buy NO) of Polymarket temperature markets when live METAR observations and probabilistic weather forecasts indicate the market is overpricing the event's likelihood.
weather6Jun 17, 2026
Weather Edge Gaussian Probability Model
Paper-trading bot that bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian model
weather6Sep 1, 2026
Polymarket weather bucket arbitrage bot
Exploits systematic edge in Polymarket daily weather bucket markets across three temperature categories using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts.
weather6Jul 20, 2026
Polymarket Weather Paper Trading Bot (Gaussian NO Edge)
Paper-trading bot exploiting overpriced NO sides of temperature markets using METAR data and Gaussian probability models.
weather6Jul 23, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Bias Trading via METAR + Gaussian Model
Systematically sell overpriced YES probabilities in Polymarket temperature markets by comparing market-implied probabilities against METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecast distributions.
weather6Jun 19, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Overpricing Fade
Bet the NO side of Polymarket temperature markets when market-implied probabilities are systematically higher than those derived from live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts via a Gaussian probability model.
weather6Jun 24, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Overpricing
Bet the NO side of temperature-outcome markets on Polymarket by identifying markets priced above the Gaussian-model probability derived from live METAR and Open-Meteo forecast data.
weather6Jun 26, 2026
Weather Market Mean-Reversion (NO-Side Bias)
Systematically sell the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets by using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo probabilistic forecasts to identify when market-implied probabilities exceed physically-modeled likelihoods.
weather6Jul 1, 2026
Weather Market NO-Side Fade Using METAR and Numerical Forecasts
Sells the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets by comparing market-implied probabilities against a Gaussian model built from live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecast data.
weather6Jul 2, 2026
Polymarket Weather Edge (NO Gaussian)
Bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian model.
weather6Sep 5, 2026
Weather Market NO-side Overpricing Bot (Paper Trading)
Paper-trading bot that bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR and Gaussian model.
weather6Aug 8, 2026
Polymarket Weather NO-Side Gaussian Model
Paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced temperature markets using METAR data and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian probability model.
weather6Aug 17, 2026
Weather Temperature Market NO Bias Strategy
Paper-trades the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR data and Gaussian probability models.
weather5Jul 1, 2026
Polymarket Weather NO-side Paper Trading Bot
Paper-trades the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR and Open-Meteo data with a Gaussian probability model
weather5Jul 5, 2026
Weather NO-Side Betting
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts with a Gaussian model.
weather5Jun 18, 2026
Weather NO-Side Temperature Arbitrage
Automated paper-trading bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts.
weather5Jun 26, 2026
Polymarket Weather Edge Paper-Trading
Automated paper-trading bot that bets NO side on overpriced temperature markets using METAR and Open-Meteo forecasts with Gaussian probability model
weather5Jul 19, 2026
Weather-Poly Arbitrage Bot (3-category bucket)
A production-ready Python bot exploiting systematic edge in Polymarket's daily weather bucket markets across three categories (high, low, precipitation) using weather forecast vs market price discrepancies.
weather5Jul 20, 2026
NO-Side Overpriced Temperature Market Fade
Bet the NO side of Polymarket temperature markets when market-implied probabilities exceed those derived from live METAR observations and Open-Meteo forecasts via a Gaussian probability model.
weather5Jul 3, 2026
Polymarket Weather Edge - METAR-based Paper Trading
Paper-trading bot betting NO side of overpriced temperature markets using live METAR observations
weather5Jul 6, 2026
Weather NO-Bias Betting
Paper-trades the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using live METAR and forecast data with a Gaussian probability model.
weather5Jul 1, 2026
Intelligent Weather Quantitative Analysis
Automated quantitative analysis bot that combines weather data signals with market pricing to find edges in Polymarket weather-related prediction markets.
weather5Jun 25, 2026
Weather Trading Bot with Kelly Sizing and NWS Forecast
Automates Polymarket weather trades using NWS forecast scans and Kelly criterion sizing for temperature market edge.
weather5Jul 15, 2026
Weather Temperature Market Paper-Trading Bot (POC)
Proof-of-concept paper-trading system targeting Polymarket weather temperature markets, likely exploiting forecast-vs-market-price divergence.
weather4Jul 3, 2026
Weather Market NO Side Fade (Generic)
Generic bot that bets the NO side of overpriced Polymarket temperature markets.
weather4Jul 13, 2026
Polymarket Weather Bot (Generic)
A Polymarket weather bot for trading temperature prediction markets
weather3Jul 5, 2026
Polymarket Weather Bot
A newly created, unspecified Python bot for Polymarket weather markets.
weather3Sep 4, 2026
Polymarket Weather NO-Bias Betting (BallesJr)
Paper-trading bot that bets NO on overpriced Polymarket temperature markets using METAR and forecast data.
weather3Aug 16, 2026