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Weather Temperature Market Paper-Trading Bot (POC)

Weatherscore 4found Jul 3, 2026github.com/RiekertQuant/polymarket-weather-bot-poc

Proof-of-concept paper-trading system targeting Polymarket weather temperature markets, likely exploiting forecast-vs-market-price divergence.


How It Works This is the most socially validated weather temperature strategy in the feed, with 21 stars and 5 forks — the highest engagement of any weather repo. The POC label indicates it is a research-grade system rather than a production deployment. It targets Polymarket weather temperature markets, which resolve based on whether a measured temperature exceeds or falls below a stated threshold.

Entry Conditions Not explicitly described beyond targeting temperature markets. Given the POC framing, entry logic likely involves comparing publicly available forecast data against market prices and entering positions where a directional edge exists. The fork count suggests at least 5 developers have extended or adapted the approach.

Exit Conditions As a paper-trading system, exits are simulated to resolution. No live execution or early-exit logic is documented in the description.

Verified Results No on-chain results reported. Paper-trading only. The relatively high star/fork count for a niche Polymarket strategy suggests the community finds the methodology credible or instructive.

Risks POC status means the system has not been stress-tested against adverse market conditions or low-liquidity scenarios. Temperature markets on Polymarket can have wide spreads that absorb theoretical edges. Scaling beyond paper trading introduces execution risk. The gap between paper and live performance is unquantified.