Weather Edge Bot Strategy
Exploits weather forecast data asymmetries on Polymarket weather event markets.
This bot surfaces predictive edges by ingesting high-resolution, real-time weather data from proprietary or low-latency government feeds before the consensus market price adjusts. The strategy monitors temperature, precipitation, and severe weather event contracts. Entry occurs when the bot's forecast diverges significantly from the implied market probability (e.g., >5% edge). Exit is either at expiration or when the market converges to the bot's estimate. Results from the report indicate the bot consistently captured small but frequent edges across dozens of weather markets in the past week. Implementation requires access to premium weather API feeds, a fast execution pipeline, and automated order management on Polymarket.