Weather Bot POC
Paper trading bot for Polymarket weather temperature markets using statistical weather modeling (proof of concept)
This proof-of-concept bot trades weather temperature markets on Polymarket in paper trading mode. It likely uses historical weather data and forecast models to identify mispriced temperature outcomes. The entry logic probably compares model-predicted probabilities against market implied probabilities to find value in YES or NO positions. Exits are at market resolution. The repo has 20 stars and 5 forks, indicating some traction in the community. Implemented in Python, this is one of the earlier weather bots in the ecosystem. The edge is based on more precise temperature forecasting than the market average. Risks include model prediction errors, especially for extreme events, and changes in market participation that remove mispricings.