Process-First Quant Arbitrage Bot (Arbiter)
Arbitragescore 7found Jul 10, 2026github.com/nayrbryanGaming/arbiter
Process-first quant bot for political markets using cross-market no-arbitrage violations with fractional Kelly sizing
A TypeScript-based quant bot ('arbiter') that targets cross-market arbitrage violations in related Polymarket political election markets. It uses fractional Kelly criterion for position sizing and refuses to trade without a backtested out-of-sample edge. The bot runs in paper-trading mode by default, prioritizing risk management and statistical rigor over aggressive profit-taking. It implements strict stop-losses and automated rebalancing. Risks include model overfitting and regime changes in political market dynamics.