News Arbitrage (Polymarket)

How It Works This strategy monitors news feeds and compares incoming information against current Polymarket prices. When a market has not yet reflected publicly available news — e.g., a political development, economic data release, or major event — the bot identifies the discrepancy and places a trade before the market corrects.

Entry/Exit Conditions Entry is triggered when a news signal is detected and the current market price diverges meaningfully from the implied probability given the new information. Exit occurs once the market reprices to reflect the news, capturing the spread between stale and updated prices.

Verified Results No verified on-chain results or backtested performance metrics are mentioned in the repository description. The project appears to be a dashboard tool rather than a fully deployed live trading system.

Implementation Notes The repo is described as a 'news arbitrage bot dashboard,' suggesting the infrastructure is focused on monitoring and visualization. The large repo size (19,634 KB) may indicate substantial data assets or UI components. No stars or forks, suggesting early-stage or personal use.

Risks Latency is the primary risk — news arb edges are razor-thin and decay within seconds. Misclassification of news relevance, API rate limits, and on-chain transaction costs (gas, slippage) can easily erode or eliminate the edge.