Crypto Trend Momentum (5-Minute Timeframe)

How It Works The rexlau-prog bot applies momentum or trend-following logic to Polymarket contracts linked to cryptocurrency prices (likely BTC/ETH Up/Down or price-level binary contracts). On a 5-minute cadence, the bot computes a trend signal from recent price action — the exact indicator is not disclosed — and places directional bets when momentum exceeds a threshold, expecting the trend to persist through the contract's settlement window.

Entry / Exit Conditions Entry is signal-driven on a 5-minute bar close. The specific signal formula is not public, but the 5-minute frequency implies reliance on short-term price momentum (e.g., RSI, MACD, or simple moving average crossovers on the underlying crypto asset price). Exit is presumably at contract settlement or on signal reversal.

Verified Results The repo is described as a 'report dashboard,' implying the bot generates ongoing performance reports. However, no P&L figures, Sharpe ratios, or win rates are published in the repo description. Zero stars and zero forks suggest no external validation.

Implementation Notes A dedicated dashboard repo suggests the bot has been running long enough to warrant a reporting interface, which is a positive implementation signal. The 5-minute timeframe aligns with the cadence of Polymarket's short-duration crypto markets. Integration with a real-time crypto price feed (e.g., Binance, CoinGecko) is implied.

Risks - Momentum strategies in binary prediction markets differ fundamentally from momentum in continuous price markets; mean reversion near contract expiry can punish trend followers. - The edge thesis is not articulated: it is unclear why Polymarket prices should exhibit predictable momentum rather than near-efficient pricing. - 5-minute binary markets have wide effective spreads (bid-ask in probability terms), which can easily exceed any momentum signal. - Overfitting to historical crypto price patterns is a significant risk given the short lookback inherent in 5-minute signals.