Cross-Platform Latency Arbitrage on Bot Malware Events
Capturing price differences between Polymarket and peer prediction markets during malware-driven volatility
The malware campaign targeting Polymarket bot cloners creates asymmetric latency and pricing gaps compared to other prediction platforms like Kalshi or PredictIt. When an infected bot incorrectly prices a contract on Polymarket, the same contract on other platforms may still reflect correct market-implied probability for several seconds. Entry is triggered by detecting a price deviation >1.5% between Polymarket and the cross-reference market. The arb is executed within 500ms using colocated infrastructure. Positions are held until convergence or a 0.8% net profit after fees. The 2026-07-06 report documented the feasibility of this strategy with sample arbitrage opportunities averaging 2.1% for 12 seconds. Requires multi-exchange API keys and low-latency execution setup.