BTC 5m/15m/1h Stacked Ensemble XGBoost LightGBM
Trades BTC Up/Down markets using a stacked XGBoost and LightGBM ensemble to identify edge-based arbitrage across multiple timeframes.
This bot uses a stacked ensemble of XGBoost and LightGBM models to predict short-term BTC price movements in Polymarket's crypto markets. It monitors 5-minute, 15-minute, and 1-hour Up/Down markets simultaneously. The stacked ensemble combines predictions from both gradient boosting frameworks to reduce overfitting and improve accuracy compared to a single model. Entry signals are generated when the model's predicted probability diverges significantly from the market's implied probability, indicating an edge. The bot integrates with Polymarket's CLOB API and includes a React/Vue front-end for monitoring, with support for Android notifications.