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masterputra169/polymarket-btc-15-minutes

github.com/masterputra169/polymarket-btc-15-minutes

Worth Cloningrisk: LowTypeScript1 starsfound Sep 4, 2026

Polymarket trading bot using an ML ensemble (XGBoost + LightGBM), concept drift detection, auto-retraining, and a live dashboard.

Strategy

Uses an XGBoost + LightGBM ensemble to trade BTC 15-min binary markets, with a focus on model retraining and monitoring for performance.


This is a well-engineered ML-based trading bot specifically for Polymarket's 15-minute BTC up/down markets. It distinguishes itself with several production-ready features. The use of an ensemble model (XGBoost + LightGBM) is a solid baseline, but the implementation of concept drift detection is more advanced, ensuring the model adapts to changing market conditions. The automated retraining pipeline via GitHub Actions is also a good sign of a developer who understands operational challenges. The inclusion of a React live dashboard makes it practical for monitoring performance and trades in real-time. The codebase is substantial (67MB, likely includes models and historical data), suggesting significant development effort. Users should be aware that the bot trades fast-moving, short-duration markets, which have inherent risks and high fees that can erode ML edge. The ML strategy is kept relevant by retraining, but the bot's usefulness is limited to this specific BTC 15-min market type. The use of TypeScript makes the code more maintainable to a wider pool of developers. For anyone looking to deploy an advanced ML bot on crypto prediction markets, this repository provides an invaluable end-to-end blueprint, from model training to execution and visualization.